I know many are KY Centric on here. I am in VA. Here is my breakdown.
First, I think Abortion rights are a losing proposition for the R party. I am not sure Americans are pro abortion but I think they are pro choice and for the most part believe in individual liberties over government control/mandate (that is also represented in the marijuana vote results as well). Abortion is really what carried the day in the critical Senate and Delegate races here in Virginia. It matters in toss up races.
The R Party is going to have to come to a balance of understanding abortion policy vs election results. It is that simple.
I do not see Beshear being a bellweather thing. Yes, Conservative R's carried the day in KY EXCEPT for Beshear. But Beshear is closer to Glen Youngkin politically than he is to Nancy Pelosi. KY has only had a R Gov. twice in past 50 years. So this is not a surprise.
I will say, I think Trump is an anchor in tossup races. The R's better figure that out.
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