Play Kentucky Derby Contest 2023, KSR Style

[Darrell KSR]

Rules are simple--you have $100 pretend KSR-bucks to wager on the Derby. Person with the most money remaining after the race wins.

One year somebody (Oledon?) said they took the $100 and put it in their pocket. As I recall, they won the contest that year. Kingcat set an all-time record three years ago, walking away with over $1k as I recall.

We'll use the correct odds, but here are the current ones, courtesy of CBS Sports. If you play early, watch for scratches (unless you just want a refund) so you can place another wager.

Kentucky Derby horses

1 Hit Show (30-1)
2 Verifying (15-1)
3 Two Phil's (12-1)
4 Confidence Game (20-1)
5 Tapit Trice (5-1)
6 Kingsbarns (12-1)
7 Reincarnate (50-1)
8 Mage (15-1)
9 Skinner (20-1) Scratched on Friday.
10 Practical Move (10-1) Scratched on Thursday.
11 Disarm (30-1)
12 Jace's Road (50-1)
13 Sun Thunder (50-1)
14 Angel of Empire (8-1)
15 Forte (3-1) Scratched Saturday
16 Raise Cain (50-1)
17 Derma Sotogake (10-1)
18 Rocket Can (30-1)
19 Lord Miles (30-1) Scratched on Thursday.
20 Continuar (50-1) Scratched on Thursday.
21 Cyclone Mischief (30-1)
22 Mandarin Hero (20-1)
23 King Russell (50-1)

[BigBluePappy]

Tapit Trice - Gorgeous grey and I love me some grey horses.
Probably fall on its nose and unseat ol' Luis Saez in the gate...
$50.00 to Win, $30.00 to Place and $20.00 to Show

[dan_bgblue]

It now costs 85 bucks to get into the infield for the derby where you can get a sunburn with 80,000 of your favorite friends, $15.00 for a Mint Julep including commemorative glass

I will try to borrow $5.00 from one of those 80,000 friends and place a bet on Forte for the win.

[BigBluePappy]

He got scratched late, didn't he dan?
Unless I was looking at a program wrong...

[dan_bgblue]

UK Forte scratched so I will waste my 5 bucks on 2 dollars to win on Two Phils and 2 bucks on Derma Sotogake to win and I will tip the person working the betting window a dollar.

[Darrell KSR]

$16 Quinella box: Kingsbarns, Derma Sotogake, Tapit Trice and Two Phil's ($96)
$4 Reincarnate to Show

[Darrell KSR]

(Dan, I sneaked in. It was tough, but I couldn't afford the $85).

[uklandrn]

Tapit Trice for me. My dad said always bet the grey horse


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[kingcat]

20 across on Kingsbarns

10 to win on Derma Sotogake

5 dollar exacta box on Angel of Empire, Derma Sotogate, and Kingsbarns

[BigBluePappy]

$16 Quinella box: Kingsbarns, Derma Sotogake, Tapit Trice and Two Phil's ($96)
$4 Reincarnate to Show

Kingsbarns is my second choice and I am sure to play them in an exotic later today.

[Doc]

$2 to win on each of these

1 Hit Show (30-1)
2 Verifying (15-1)
3 Two Phil's (12-1)
4 Confidence Game (20-1)
5 Tapit Trice (5-1)
6 Kingsbarns (12-1)
7 Reincarnate (50-1)
8 Mage (15-1)
11 Disarm (30-1)
14 Angel of Empire (8-1)
16 Raise Cain (50-1)
17 Derma Sotogake (10-1)
18 Rocket Can (30-1)
21 Cyclone Mischief (30-1)
22 Mandarin Hero (20-1)
23 King Russell (50-1)


$2 on these to Place
1 Hit Show (30-1)
2 Verifying (15-1)
3 Two Phil's (12-1)
4 Confidence Game (20-1)
5 Tapit Trice (5-1)
6 Kingsbarns (12-1)
7 Reincarnate (50-1)
8 Mage (15-1)
11 Disarm (30-1)
13 Sun Thunder (50-1)
14 Angel of Empire (8-1)
16 Raise Cain (50-1)
17 Derma Sotogake (10-1)
18 Rocket Can (30-1)
21 Cyclone Mischief (30-1)
22 Mandarin Hero (20-1)
23 King Russell (50-1)


and 2 dollars on these to show
1 Hit Show (30-1)
2 Verifying (15-1)
3 Two Phil's (12-1)
4 Confidence Game (20-1)
5 Tapit Trice (5-1)
6 Kingsbarns (12-1)
7 Reincarnate (50-1)
8 Mage (15-1)
11 Disarm (30-1)
13 Sun Thunder (50-1)
14 Angel of Empire (8-1)
16 Raise Cain (50-1)
17 Derma Sotogake (10-1)
18 Rocket Can (30-1)
21 Cyclone Mischief (30-1)
22 Mandarin Hero (20-1)
23 King Russell (50-1)

To make is simple, that is 2 on every horse to win, place and show except no win on Sun Thunder





This is more an "experiment" as I always wondered how this would pay out by betting every horse. Clearly I am pulling for LONG SHOTS

[UKFlounder]

100 to win on Angel of Empire

[blueboss]

The whole wad on Tapit Trice to win… being lazy


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[dan_bgblue]

If Mage wins, it will support the legend of Barn 42 at Churchill Downs. History says that Barn 42 has produced the most derby winners, and Mage is the only derby entrant today from Barn 42. Info comes from Dale Jr. on the pre race program.

[Darrell KSR]

The whole wad on Tapit Trice to win… being lazy


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My fault for not posting the Derby earlier. I have been totally out of it this week.

[dan_bgblue]

The barn 42 magic holds true. Mage wins the derby

[blueboss]

Ms. boss was all over Mage. We’ll get to eat tonight after all .


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[Darrell KSR]

If Mage wins, it will support the legend of Barn 42 at Churchill Downs. History says that Barn 42 has produced the most derby winners, and Mage is the only derby entrant today from Barn 42. Info comes from Dale Jr. on the pre race program.

Bingo.

[Darrell KSR]

The barn 42 magic holds true. Mage wins the derby

Great tidbit.

[blueboss]

5- Mage paid $32.42 to win, $14.58 to place and $9/08 to show.

8- Two Phil’s paid $10.44 to place and $6.52 to show.

14-Angel of Empire paid $4.70 to show.

The $2 exacta (5-8) paid $330.44

The $1 trifecta (8-3-14) paid $491.18

The $1 superfecta, with fourth-place finisher (11) joining the top three, paid $15,643.63

Here’s the order of finish: 8-3-14-11-1-17-5-16-18-4-13-22-7-6-23-2-12-21.


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[blueboss]

$2 to win on each of these

1 Hit Show (30-1)
2 Verifying (15-1)
3 Two Phil's (12-1)
4 Confidence Game (20-1)
5 Tapit Trice (5-1)
6 Kingsbarns (12-1)
7 Reincarnate (50-1)
8 Mage (15-1)
11 Disarm (30-1)
14 Angel of Empire (8-1)
16 Raise Cain (50-1)
17 Derma Sotogake (10-1)
18 Rocket Can (30-1)
21 Cyclone Mischief (30-1)
22 Mandarin Hero (20-1)
23 King Russell (50-1)


$2 on these to Place
1 Hit Show (30-1)
2 Verifying (15-1)
3 Two Phil's (12-1)
4 Confidence Game (20-1)
5 Tapit Trice (5-1)
6 Kingsbarns (12-1)
7 Reincarnate (50-1)
8 Mage (15-1)
11 Disarm (30-1)
13 Sun Thunder (50-1)
14 Angel of Empire (8-1)
16 Raise Cain (50-1)
17 Derma Sotogake (10-1)
18 Rocket Can (30-1)
21 Cyclone Mischief (30-1)
22 Mandarin Hero (20-1)
23 King Russell (50-1)


and 2 dollars on these to show
1 Hit Show (30-1)
2 Verifying (15-1)
3 Two Phil's (12-1)
4 Confidence Game (20-1)
5 Tapit Trice (5-1)
6 Kingsbarns (12-1)
7 Reincarnate (50-1)
8 Mage (15-1)
11 Disarm (30-1)
13 Sun Thunder (50-1)
14 Angel of Empire (8-1)
16 Raise Cain (50-1)
17 Derma Sotogake (10-1)
18 Rocket Can (30-1)
21 Cyclone Mischief (30-1)
22 Mandarin Hero (20-1)
23 King Russell (50-1)

To make is simple, that is 2 on every horse to win, place and show except no win on Sun Thunder





This is more an "experiment" as I always wondered how this would pay out by betting every horse. Clearly I am pulling for LONG SHOTS

75.84


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[blueboss]

Comes down to who lost the least.


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[Doc]

75.84


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Should be $77.11

32.42+14.58+9.08+10.44+6.52+4.07=$77.11

Not a huge difference but it shows you need a bunch of long shots to make money

[blueboss]

Should be $77.11

32.42+14.58+9.08+10.44+6.52+4.07=$77.11

Not a huge difference but it shows you need a bunch of long shots to make money

Oooops…


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[dan_bgblue]

I may have lost the least on the bets. I only risked 4 bucks. The other 96 was spent with no chance to recoup the investment.

[Darrell KSR]

I may have lost the least on the bets. I only risked 4 bucks. The other 96 was spent with no chance to recoup the investment.

I'm calling you the Winner this year.

[Darrell KSR]

Should be $77.11

32.42+14.58+9.08+10.44+6.52+4.07=$77.11

Not a huge difference but it shows you need a bunch of long shots to make money

Good experiment.

[dan_bgblue]

I'm calling you the Winner this year.

Please don't do that. Please reward someone that actually made an effort, and I don't want to have to defend the championship next season.