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Thread: Long range watch out
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10-02-2020, 01:25 PM #1
Long range watch out
If TD 25 crosses the Yucatan Peninsula without being torn apart by the peninsula and the low mts, then it will enter the Bay of Campeche mostly intact. This time of the year the BOC acts like a washing machine on the spin cycle and TD 25 would have a good chance of becoming a strong TS and heading north or northwest and possibly becoming a hurricane before landfall.
Good idea for anyone with interests on the gulf coast or the east Texas coast to watch this area of weather over the next couple of weeks.
Linkageseeya
dan
I'm just one stomach flu away from my goal weight.
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10-02-2020, 01:30 PM #2
Re: Long range watch out
seeya
dan
I'm just one stomach flu away from my goal weight.
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10-02-2020, 03:08 PM #3
Re: Long range watch out
Thanks, Dan. I have friends on the coast, a lot of family in New Orleans, Houma, and South Louisiana, and do work with clients in the Mobile area as well as the Panhandle. I always appreciate these heads up posts. Man, what a 2020 it has been.
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10-02-2020, 06:04 PM #4
Long range watch out
And for heaven's sake, please leave the good people in the Lake Charles area alone.
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10-02-2020, 06:11 PM #5
Re: Long range watch out
This is making it harder and harder for me to just sell everything and go live on a boat in the Caribbean. Esp. given the dingy I can afford.
People keep asking if I'm back and I haven't really had an answer. But now, yeah, I'm thinkin' I'm back.
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10-03-2020, 08:27 PM #6
Re: Long range watch out
seeya
dan
I'm just one stomach flu away from my goal weight.
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10-03-2020, 08:32 PM #7
Re: Long range watch out
Looks like the steering winds want to push it to the east which will keep it pout of the BOC blender. Good thing. Hope I do not get up in the morning to see it has decided to go west again
seeya
dan
I'm just one stomach flu away from my goal weight.
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10-04-2020, 12:36 AM #8
Re: Long range watch out
We are flooding like crazy. My neighbor is building an ark and loading the animals..... damn thing has been dumping water on us for 4 days now
Aging is an extraordinary process where you become the person you always should have been.--David Bowie.
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10-04-2020, 09:44 AM #9
Re: Long range watch out
seeya
dan
I'm just one stomach flu away from my goal weight.
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10-04-2020, 06:35 PM #10
Long range watch out
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10-04-2020, 07:31 PM #11
Re: Long range watch out
Well TD 25 is supposed to turn west some time tomorrow and slowly way make it's way onto the north west coast of Mexico.
As for 26, have to see what happens when it slips between the Yucatan and Cuba. The projected track on your map is playing the most likely odds, but history says that this time of year when dealing with GOM storms it is best to wait to see where the steering winds will take it when they come into play. If no steering winds come into play then the track as shown is most likely but it will be a slow run to the coast.seeya
dan
I'm just one stomach flu away from my goal weight.
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10-04-2020, 07:46 PM #12
Re: Long range watch out
Have to hope the cold front dropping south out of Canada gets in place to push the spinner to the east before it gets to the coast. Other than that there is no sign of steering winds turning TD 26.
Last edited by dan_bgblue; 10-04-2020 at 07:51 PM.
seeya
dan
I'm just one stomach flu away from my goal weight.
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10-05-2020, 08:27 AM #13
Re: Long range watch out
U really think players are going to duke without being paid over Kentucky?--Gilbert Arenas, 9/12/19
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10-05-2020, 08:28 AM #14
Re: Long range watch out
Sally formed closer to the Gulf coast but it was also initially projected to hit southern Louisiana before it moved east. Hope the Louisiana folks miss this one, too, but I'm worried for the folks in the Flora Bama area who are still recovering.
U really think players are going to duke without being paid over Kentucky?--Gilbert Arenas, 9/12/19
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10-05-2020, 11:16 AM #15
Re: Long range watch out
seeya
dan
I'm just one stomach flu away from my goal weight.
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10-05-2020, 01:00 PM #16
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10-05-2020, 02:10 PM #17
Long range watch out
Soggy business...
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk"I have touched all the so-called capitals of basketball, but when it gets down to the short stroke, the only true capital of basketball is in Lexington." AL McGuire
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10-05-2020, 07:01 PM #18
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10-05-2020, 08:36 PM #19
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10-05-2020, 09:16 PM #20
Re: Long range watch out
Darrell, I have done my best to blow it west to come ashore 50 or so miles south of Brownsville, but I am losing my battle.
seeya
dan
I'm just one stomach flu away from my goal weight.
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10-05-2020, 10:11 PM #21
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10-06-2020, 11:02 AM #22
Re: Long range watch out
Up to category 4 now, still projected for Louisiana:
U really think players are going to duke without being paid over Kentucky?--Gilbert Arenas, 9/12/19
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10-06-2020, 11:26 AM #23
- Join Date
- Aug 2012
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- Kirkland, WA
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- 2,806
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10-06-2020, 12:27 PM #24
Re: Long range watch out
Locally I have seen several high school football games moved from Friday to Thursday night in anticipation of bad weather. Of course, we are not going to get anything like the people involved when a hurricane makes landfall, but lots of rain makes a miserable experience.
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10-06-2020, 12:31 PM #25
Re: Long range watch out
My sister-in-law and several nieces and nephews live in Houma, Louisiana. That is a tad bit east of the expected landfall. Home is not on the coast, but it is not far away. They have never had a real problem with a hurricane, though. I mean, not like devastation type problems.
Anyway, if it holds its projected line, that might be as good as it is going to get. It is east of the Lake Charles area that was devastated a few weeks ago, and west of New Orleans (and even west of Houma). And it leaves the poor people from the Alabama Gulf Coast alone (from the devastation, at least).
I am sorry, I do not mean to make light of where it lands. It will be a problem for wherever it goes, and I should not be so myopic.
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10-06-2020, 01:35 PM #26
Re: Long range watch out
seeya
dan
I'm just one stomach flu away from my goal weight.
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10-06-2020, 02:08 PM #27
Long range watch out
My cousin Debe and her husband are currently in Cancun. Just posted that they have a mandatory evacuation, but they felt safer at the hotel. Said they would probably be going to a local college to ride it out.
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10-06-2020, 03:52 PM #28
- Join Date
- Aug 2012
- Location
- Kirkland, WA
- Posts
- 2,806
Long range watch out
Ouch, this is NOT a storm I would want to ride out. If they could get a flight they should. Otherwise if their resort has a bunker then they should go to that.
Sent from my SM-N986U using Tapatalk
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10-06-2020, 04:47 PM #29
Re: Long range watch out
From her Facebook post 3 hours ago:
So this is our situation:
We are in Cancun Mexico and Hurricane Delta is expected to hit Cancun directly as it works its way to a category 4. We have called hotels in surrounding areas and they are full.
So, they say it is a mandatory evacuation 10 minutes ago. Really. People are swimming in the pool and it is evacuating. We kinda feel the safest just hanging here at the hotel.
So, we might be heading to the local college. Not sure how we feel about that with Covid!! All crammed into a college gym.
Tick tock, tick tock, tick tock,
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10-06-2020, 07:31 PM #30
Long range watch out
They went West. Update.
Edit... There are 7 of them together. Geez.Last edited by Darrell KSR; 10-06-2020 at 08:33 PM.
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