Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style

[dan_bgblue]

$25.00 across the board on Mike Smith.
$25.00 to win on Mike Smith

As Doc often says, Go Big or Go Home

In the mire of today's track, patience is going to be important

[blueboss]

$10 Exact Box - $60
7- Maximum Security 9-2
8- Tacitus 5-1
10- Cutting Humor 24-1

$5 Exacta Box - $30
5- Improbable 9-2
7- Maximum Security 9-2
17 Roadster 10-1

$5 W - $5
10 Cutting Humor 24-1

$5 W - $5
17 Roadster 10-1


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[blueboss]

Track just downgraded from fast to sloppy (6:25 pm est)...


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[Doc]

if i was going on current odd..Roadster in a slam dunk.

[Doc]

drop win, win,win and replace with Roadster. I edit my pick above

[Darrell KSR]

if i was going on current odd..Roadster in a slam dunk.

Doc, you are welcome to change a wager until post time. We will use the true odds anyway.

[Darrell KSR]

drop win, win,win and replace with Roadster. I edit my pick above

You got it.

[Darrell KSR]

You convince me too, Doc... I changed as well.

[Darrell KSR]

And the finish in a sloppy track

1. Maximum Security
2. Country House
3. Code of Honor

[blueboss]

And the finish in a sloppy track

1. Maximum Security
2. Country House
3. Code of Honor

Not so fast, objection under way


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[Darrell KSR]

$30 on Improbable to win
$30 on Maximum Security to win
$10 on Roadster to win
$20 on Code of Honor to place -- + $98.00
$10 on Cutting Humor to show


$98.00; broke even

$100 to place on By My Standards

Hope you kept cab fare in your pocket!

$50 on 5 to place
$25 on 7 to show
$25 on 17 place

So Improbable to place ($50)
Max Sec to show ($25)
Roadster to place ($50)

these are my edited and final picks

Stripped of winning money by the DQ!

I'm going to do like I do when I don't study the horses at all...play some conservative plays and hope something hits where I more or less break even .

$20 across the board on Vekoma
[s]$20 By My Standards to show[/s] -- change to $10 for Roadster to win; $10 for Roadster to show (thanks, Doc...nice odds)
$20 Code of Honor to show -- $98.00

Broke even

$20 to show on the following horses.
5 improbable
8 tacitus - $56.00
12 Bodexpress
17 Roadster
20 country house -- +$246.00

Nice $302.00 day

I would never make this bet with real money..


Game Winner...10 win/place ($20)
Roadster...10 win/place ($20)
Improbable..20 across win/place/show ($60)

Good thing you saved your real money

Luckily this is (real)KSR $ I've never placed a bet on a horse in my life, and still don't understand how the odds work, but here we go.

Will to Win - $25 to win
Cutting Humor - $25 to place
Roadster - $50 to show

Better to not understand the odds, and not to bet apparently!

$30 on Maximum Security to win ($30)
$10 across the board on Improbable ($30)
$10 across the board on Tacitus ($30) -- +$28.00
$10 on Tax to show ($10)

$28, Kept enough for you and the missus to go to dinner. Well, at McDonald's.

$10 By My Standards to place
$10 ($30) across the board on Win Win Win
$10 ($30) across the board on Spinoff
$20 on Roadster to win
$10 on Country House to show -- +$123

$123, better than a break even day, but barely.

$25.00 across the board on Mike Smith.
$25.00 to win on Mike Smith

As Doc often says, Go Big or Go Home

In the mire of today's track, patience is going to be important

Well, you're going home, but probably walking unless you kept gas money.

$10 Exact Box - $60
7- Maximum Security 9-2
8- Tacitus 5-1
10- Cutting Humor 24-1

$5 Exacta Box - $30
5- Improbable 9-2
7- Maximum Security 9-2
17 Roadster 10-1

$5 W - $5
10 Cutting Humor 24-1

$5 W - $5
17 Roadster 10-1


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Close all around, and killed by the DQ. You coulda been a contender!

Here are the wagers. There's a rider's objection from Country House against Maximum Security, so of course, we would wait on the official payouts anyway.


Please double check my payouts, all done in my head and glancing at a computer monitor.

[Darrell KSR]

Not so fast, objection under way


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I'll be shocked if they change anything, but as someone on twitter said, VAR is killing horse racing!

[Darrell KSR]

I'm think it's a flagrant one, what do you think? Hook and hold?

[Darrell KSR]

Targeting?

[blueboss]

“Go To The Monitor”

I think if anybody has a claim it’s the 1 horse, War of Will


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[Darrell KSR]

“Go To The Monitor”

I think if anybody has a claim it’s the 1 horse, War of Will


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Doug Shows would be so proud!

[Darrell KSR]

I thought this was supposed to be the fastest 2 min. in sports?

[blueboss]

Doug Shows would be so proud!

Doug Shows just T’d up Calipari


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[Darrell KSR]

Question: is this the longest review since the Patrick Sparks three pointer in 2005?

[blueboss]

OMG!!!


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[UKFlounder]

DQ'd!

[KSRdallen]

Wow!

[Doc]

that is HORRIBLE

[Darrell KSR]

I know I am only amusing myself, and I'm stealing most of these from Twitter anyway. But I think my favorite so far has to be this one:

If they take the title away from Maximum Security at least they wouldn't be the first one to get a title taken away in Louisville.

[Darrell KSR]

WOW.

[Darrell KSR]

In case you're just peeking in on this thread, the stewards did disqualify Maximum Security. Country House is the winner.

There will be controversy on this for a long time.

[Darrell KSR]

The odds on the winner just went from 9-2 to 65-1.

[blueboss]

I know I am only amusing myself, and I'm stealing most of these from Twitter anyway. But I think my favorite so far has to be this one:

If they take the title away from Maximum Security at least they wouldn't be the first one to get a title taken away in Louisville.

Was Country House bred in Durham NC?


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[Darrell KSR]

Was Country House bred in Durham NC?


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lol--probably!

[Darrell KSR]

20 Country House $132.40 $56.60 $24.60
13 Code of Honor $15.20 $9.80
8 Tacitus $5.60

Also Ran
5 - Improbable, 16 - Game Winner

Scratched
11 - Haikal, 12 - Omaha Beach

Payouts
WAGER TYPE WINNERS PAYOUT
$1.00 Double 12/20 $121.40
$2.00 Exacta 20/13 $3,009.60
$0.50 Pick 3 7/12/20 $638.80
$0.50 Pick 4 3/7/12/20 $11,325.65
$0.50 Pick 5 2, 8/3/7/12/20 $72,317.60
$0.20 Pick 6 4/2, 8/3/7/12/20 $271,869.81
Pick 6 Carryover $137,593.95
$1.00 Super High Five 20/13/8/5/16 $544,185.88
$1.00 Superfecta 20/13/8/5 $51,400.10
$0.50 Trifecta 20/13/8 $5,737.65