I've been saying for months that UL should be favored on Sept. 2nd, but only by 5 or 5.5 points. Today I stumbled across a site with an incredible database, and this James Howell has UL favored by 5.5 points, which carries a 60% probability of a UL win. I think all those UL fans betting on them at -14 are going to be very sad in a couple of weeks.
http://www.jhowell.net/cf/cfpred.txt
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