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Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
Rules are simple--you have $100 pretend KSR-bucks to wager on the Derby. Person with the most money remaining after the race wins.
One year somebody (Oledon?) said they took the $100 and put it in their pocket. As I recall, they won the contest that year. Badrose won it one year with a $330 day, as I recall. I don't recall huge wins; his may have been the best. Thedonnie123 won last year with $181, nipping Doc's $180. (His secret was he kept $10 in his pocket, only wagered $90, won $171. Clever.)
We'll use the correct odds, but here are the current ones, courtesy of CBS Sports. If you play early, watch for scratches (unless you just want a refund) so you can place another wager.
2019 Kentucky Derby Odds and Post Positions
The 145th Kentucky Derby will take place at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky on Saturday, May 4th. Here is a look at the competing field, along with their post positions and 2019 Kentucky Derby odds:
POST NUMBER HORSE CURRENT ODDS
1 War of Will 15-1
2 Tax 20-1
3 By My Standards 15-1
4 Gray Magician 50-1
5 Improbable 5-1
6 Vekoma 15-1
7 Maximum Security 8-1
8 Tacitus 8-1
9 Plus Que Parfait 30-1
10 Cutting Humor 30-1
11 Haikal 30-1
12 Bodexpress 30-1
13 Code of Honor 12-1
14 Win Win Win 12-1
15 Master Fencer 50-1
16 Game Winner 9-2
17 Roadster 5-1
18 Long Range Toddy 30-1
19 Spinoff 30-1
20 Country House 30-1
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
Whoa...I need to modify the first post--last year Blueboss set the KSR record. Here's what happened in 2018:
I show Blueboss the big winner walking away with $532, and badrose another nice day with $390 right behind him.
Dan had a good profitable day with $222, and I managed to do a little better than break even with $156.
Flounder cut his losses with a $75 winner, and everybody else just enjoyed the history!
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
$30 on Improbable to win
$30 on Maximum Security to win
$10 on Roadster to win
$20 on Code of Honor to place
$10 on Cutting Humor to show
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
I can't vouch for the accuracy of this but for those of you from out of state, it might be helpful
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClic...2#.W1ZuscJOnIU
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
$100 to place on By My Standards
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Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
This ones wide open, no clear favorite despite how the betting goes... weather has to figure into it as well.
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Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
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Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Darrell KSR
Gonna rain?
Yep, looks like it might be sloppy. Churchill drains really well so timing might be key, but if it rains all day drainage won’t matter.
Local weather guys play the chamber of commerce curve until they can’t. Saturday looks pretty soggy all day...
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Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
@DRFGrening: Haikal will scratch from Kentucky Derby, per trainer @KPMRacingStable
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
Quote:
Originally Posted by
dan_bgblue
Looks like we may need to know whose mother was a mudder.
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Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
Another tid bit, since Omaha Beach scratched, jockey Mike Smith lost his mount.
Mike Smith will now be on Todd Pletcher’s Cutting Humor. Could be a game changer, look for his opening 30-1 line to drop
With Hiakel (my long shot) scratching, the one hole will be vacant as all the horses will slide down a spot.
Pletcher now has to pay both jockeys...
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
$50 on 5 to place
$25 on 7 to show
$25 on 17 place
So Improbable to place ($50)
Max Sec to show ($25)
Roadster to place ($50)
these are my edited and final picks
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Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Doc
$50 on 5 to place
$25 on 7 to show
$25 on 14 to place
Watch your post numbers, with Hiakel scratching everybody moved over one spot.
...I think
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1 Attachment(s)
Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
Quote:
Originally Posted by
blueboss
Watch your post numbers, with Hiakel scratching everybody moved over one spot.
...I think
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Don't know if this is accurate... I'm not a horse guy, although I love it. Attachment 7995
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
I'm going to do like I do when I don't study the horses at all...play some conservative plays and hope something hits where I more or less break even :).
$20 across the board on Vekoma
[s]$20 By My Standards to show[/s] -- change to $10 for Roadster to win; $10 for Roadster to show (thanks, Doc...nice odds)
$20 Code of Honor to show
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Doc
$50 on 5 to place
$25 on 7 to show
$25 on 14 to place
Got you for Improbable, Maximum Security, and Win Win Win
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Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Darrell KSR
Got you for Improbable, Maximum Security, and Win Win Win
So it’s improbable Maximum Security will win,win,win? Shoot!! I was liking Maximum Security in a box.
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Darrell KSR
Got you for Improbable, Maximum Security, and Win Win Win
correct. scratch does not change number
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Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
Big money in the Oaks, fast track, winner went wire/wire....
Serengeti Empress
28.00, 14.80, 9.60
Liora
32.60, 17.00
Lady Apple
7.00
2.00 Exacta 878.40
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
Quote:
Originally Posted by
blueboss
Big money in the Oaks, fast track, winner went wire/wire....
Serengeti Empress
28.00, 14.80, 9.60
Liora
32.60, 17.00
Lady Apple
7.00
2.00 Exacta 878.40
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My friend had $12 exacta! $5000
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Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
Quote:
Originally Posted by
snoopcat
My friend had $12 exacta! $5000
Sweet.
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
Since Omaha Beach was scratched, I gotta go with the gray horse, Tacitus. Put it all on his nose to get to the line first.
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
$20 to show on the following horses.
5 improbable
8 tacitus
12 Bodexpress
17 Roadster
20 country house
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
I would never make this bet with real money..
Game Winner...10 win/place ($20)
Roadster...10 win/place ($20)
Improbable..20 across win/place/show ($60)
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
Luckily this is (real)KSR $ I've never placed a bet on a horse in my life, and still don't understand how the odds work, but here we go.
Will to Win - $25 to win
Cutting Humor - $25 to place
Roadster - $50 to show
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
This is one of those races where it may be smart to bet the jockey and not the horse.
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Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
Quote:
Originally Posted by
dan_bgblue
This is one of those races where it may be smart to bet the jockey and not the horse.
Waiting on your plays!
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Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
Quote:
Originally Posted by
CGWildcat
Luckily this is (real)KSR $ I've never placed a bet on a horse in my life, and still don't understand how the odds work, but here we go.
Will to Win - $25 to win
Cutting Humor - $25 to place
Roadster - $50 to show
Looks like you did fine.
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
$30 on Maximum Security to win ($30)
$10 across the board on Improbable ($30)
$10 across the board on Tacitus ($30)
$10 on Tax to show ($10)
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
$10 By My Standards to place
$10 ($30) across the board on Win Win Win
$10 ($30) across the board on Spinoff
$20 on Roadster to win
$10 on Country House to show
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
$25.00 across the board on Mike Smith.
$25.00 to win on Mike Smith
As Doc often says, Go Big or Go Home
In the mire of today's track, patience is going to be important
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Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
$10 Exact Box - $60
7- Maximum Security 9-2
8- Tacitus 5-1
10- Cutting Humor 24-1
$5 Exacta Box - $30
5- Improbable 9-2
7- Maximum Security 9-2
17 Roadster 10-1
$5 W - $5
10 Cutting Humor 24-1
$5 W - $5
17 Roadster 10-1
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Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
Track just downgraded from fast to sloppy (6:25 pm est)...
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
if i was going on current odd..Roadster in a slam dunk.
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
drop win, win,win and replace with Roadster. I edit my pick above
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Doc
if i was going on current odd..Roadster in a slam dunk.
Doc, you are welcome to change a wager until post time. We will use the true odds anyway.
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Doc
drop win, win,win and replace with Roadster. I edit my pick above
You got it.
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
You convince me too, Doc... I changed as well.
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Re: Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
And the finish in a sloppy track
1. Maximum Security
2. Country House
3. Code of Honor
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Play Kentucky Derby, 2019 KSR Style
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Darrell KSR
And the finish in a sloppy track
1. Maximum Security
2. Country House
3. Code of Honor
Not so fast, objection under way
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