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One door has a million dollars behind it and another door has a hungry lion hiding behind it. There are 2 people standing next to the doors that know what is behind each. One person can never tell the the truth and the other can never lie. You can ask each of them one question to figure out which door to open. What question do you ask each of them to get the money and avoid the lion?
Person # 1 Question: If your life depended on it--and it may, because I have a concealed weapon license, and I am carrying -- what door has the million dollars behind it?
Person # 2 Question: If I asked Person # 1 which door had the million dollars behind it, what would they tell me?
If Person # 2 is truthful, they know Person # 1 will lie, and will intentionally tell me the wrong door, so they will answer "Door X," where Door X is the wrong door.
If Person # 2 will lie, they know Person # 1 will tell the truth and tell me it is door "Z," the correct door. So Person # 2 will lie, and tell me, "Door X," since they can't help but lie.
Then you choose the door other than the one they tell you.
Oh, the first question? I didn't need it, so I just wasted it. But I guess you could ask the same question to both and double check your answer, which should be the same.
Dang, D beat me to it, I knew the answer to that one. You ask one of them what the other would say.
Though I like the "you know I'm carrying" approach better. :)
it reminds me though of the Monty Hall Problem. It's an amazing statistical behavior that is based on the Let's Make a Deal choosing of 1 door of 3. Mythbusters did a great test of it, and despite the fact that even a lot of math PhDs argued it was false, Steve Selvin was right in 1975 when he submitted the paradox to a publication.
On the show, when Monty would ask you to pick 1 of 3 doors, and you chose, he would often then open one of the other 2 doors that he knows is empty,and then offer you the opportunity to switch to the other door.
Well as it turns out, it's statistically wise to switch every time. As it turns out when you choose the first time each door is a 1/3 probability of being the right one. If you choose a door (say A), and then Monty opens the other door, the observer thinks his chances are now 50/50 and stays the same.
BUT it's not 50/50. In fact when you chose the first door it was a 1/3 chance, which means the chance of it being one of the other 2 doors was 2/3. When Monty opens one of those other doors, then the door that remains that was NOT chosen now has that 2/3 chance of being right. So you should always switch b/c your original door has a 1/3 chance of being right, and the other one has a 2/3 chance.
It's mind blowing to me. But completely true. First you have to get past why it's not 50/50, which seems so obvious. There are also other stumbling blocks, but it works out, the guy was right. And a LOT of really smart people were convinced he was wrong, and even argued the point many years later.
I probably should not have answered Dan's thing, because I've heard the answer to the question before and remembered the answer, rather than figuring it out. I also remember the Monty Hall Mythbusters question you raised, and it still boggles my mind, but understand it to be correct as you stated it.
Man!! It's tough going to work after being off two weeks.... oh well we had a great much needed vacation.
Back to it.
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96 hours since the previous post. I am the last post in this thread and am going to lock it down. ;-)
Good job!!!
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So tired, but seriously disappointed I'm not going to see Kentucky play baseball tomorrow. I was very much looking forward to it.
Cloudy
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2 days this time. Dark here now
Why are club crackers so good?
So...I'm guessing eating 24 of those bad boys last night while I watched a marathon session of Strange Things (I think that's what it is called) is not a great idea for a diet....
I watched "at" all eight episodes yesterday. It was on; I wasn't watching, was reading and found myself watching more and more. Eventually I began watching. Pretty good stuff.
No topping on the club crackers needed. Guess it was good I skipped breakfast and lunch yesterday (unintentionally). I've done that kind of thing a few times.
What's this show Stranger Things you speak of?
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It is dark again. Seems to happen every day. Anyone know why this happens? Thank goodness I have my torch to light my way
Poison ivy is pure evil.
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Only if you attack it first
Whatever the outcome, do not resort to fire to eliminate the pest, even after it is dead and desiccated.
Years ago a good friend set fire to a bulldozer pile that was infested with the stuff. He spent 2 weeks in the hospital recovering. The blisters on the inside of his lungs dang near killed him
https://www.magidglove.com/mobile/du...554txxxl.aspx#
After my bout with poison ivy last summer I'm getting one these.
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LOL
Muggy this morning
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I'm taking two Alleve daily for my shoulder. I hate taking pills, so if I seem extra cranky sometime, you can figure it is probably that I missed a dose and/or it just isn't working to dull the pain.
So please tell me you don't do this. I walk into the restroom down the hall. There's only one stall in the one in this floor, with two urinals. The stall is occupied (I don't need it, no big deal), but there's a guy talking loudly on a cell phone, I guess.
I hate to be "rude," but I go ahead, use the urinal, and flush. Wash my hands. Operate the hand towel machine. Rip the paper towel off. All those noise things, some of which have to be disconcerting to the person on the other end of the phone.
So tell me--do you sit on the toilet, in a public facility, and talk on your phone? Can't you wait--what--five minutes?
Yeah, I could understand that. This was a business call, but at least from my side of the conversation, it didn't sound critical. Certainly wasn't a "business going under," kinda matter, or even more importantly a, "wife in labor" kinda thing.
I think he was just sitting there "relaxing," and treating it like he was in his home. And there aren't many men on this floor, so really, he's probably done it before and not had any interruption. Just a WAG.
FWIW i'm in a public restroom for most of my conversations here. Sometimes in a stall, sometimes I just prop my laptop up on a sink and hang out a while.