I don't necessarily believe Sagarin is good, bad, or whatever; just thought it would start some discussion. Using the Predictor and the home advantage defined by Sagarin. Credit (or blame) to ChatGPT if they fouled up the calculations.
Tennessee at Kentucky:
Margin of Victory = (73.07 + 2.43) - 86.80
Margin of Victory = 75.50 - 86.80
Margin of Victory ≈ -11.30
Predicted Outcome: Tennessee wins by approximately 11.30 points.
Kentucky at Mississippi State:
Margin of Victory = 73.07 - (72.00 + 2.43)
Margin of Victory = 73.07 - 74.43
Margin of Victory ≈ -1.36
Predicted Outcome: Mississippi State wins by approximately 1.36 points.
Alabama at Kentucky:
Margin of Victory = (73.07 + 2.43) - 90.88
Margin of Victory = 75.50 - 90.88
Margin of Victory ≈ -15.38
Predicted Outcome: Alabama wins by approximately 15.38 points.
Kentucky at South Carolina:
Margin of Victory = 73.07 - (76.13 + 2.43)
Margin of Victory = 73.07 - 78.56
Margin of Victory ≈ -5.49
Predicted Outcome: South Carolina wins by approximately 5.49 points.
Kentucky at Louisville:
Margin of Victory = 73.07 - (77.33 + 2.43)
Margin of Victory = 73.07 - 79.76
Margin of Victory ≈ -6.69
Predicted Outcome: Louisville wins by approximately 6.69 points.
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