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View Full Version : UL -5.5 vs. UK?



Catfan73
08-16-2012, 09:28 PM
I've been saying for months that UL should be favored on Sept. 2nd, but only by 5 or 5.5 points. Today I stumbled across a site with an incredible database, and this James Howell has UL favored by 5.5 points, which carries a 60% probability of a UL win. I think all those UL fans betting on them at -14 are going to be very sad in a couple of weeks.

http://www.jhowell.net/cf/cfpred.txt

Darrell KSR
08-17-2012, 06:52 AM
That's very interesting. There is a lot of air in the 14.5 point spread if you buy this database. It wouldn't shock me if that was the case.

SalsaKat
08-17-2012, 08:46 AM
Why on God's Earth anyone would give the points at -14.5 in an in-state rivalry game is beyond me. There is just way too much wiggle room there.

Catonahottinroof
08-18-2012, 11:02 AM
No kidding. It's too much IMO. The only way it's not is if a coaching gaffe appears from the UK sideline. Entirely possible :/