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View Full Version : For the degenerates - Pick A Lock - let's play this weekend for practice



Darrell KSR
09-11-2014, 08:55 AM
OK, so if you like playing these football games, and if Doc's Beat the Odds, Oledon's Stupid Underdog Picks, and Doc's Survival/Elimination game isn't enough, let's do one more. We'll play this weekend for practice, and start next week for real.

We'll call it, "Pick A Lock," and the game will work like this.

Each week you'll look at the same list provided for Stupid Underdog Picks, and you'll pick a "lock" -- either the favorite or the underdog to just beat the point spread provided.

But wait--there's more.

You have the choice to choose up to 3 "Locks" in a week. Each "Lock" will cost you $100 KSR dollars. So you can "wager" $100-$300 per week, at your discretion.

In fact, if you choose less than 3 games, you can double or triple play a selection. Maximum is $300 per week. Each game is $100, $200 or $300 only (keep my math down to a minimum).

At the end of the season, the one with the most KSR dollars wins.

No exotic wagers, no parlays, no teasters, no "juice," just straight-up wagers. Each week you will either win or lose $100, 200 or 300, or break even if you have 2 selections chosen for $100 each.

This week is PRACTICE ONLY, but we will start it the following week for real.

Darrell KSR
09-11-2014, 08:55 AM
Here are the lines for PRACTICE WEEK.

Thursday, September 11
BYU -14 Houston
NORTH TEXAS -4 Louisiana Tech

Friday, September 12
Baylor -27 BUFFALO
CINCINNATI -12 Toledo

Saturday, September 13
Air Force -9.5 GEORGIA STATE
ALABAMA -49 Southern Miss
ARIZONA -16.5 Nevada
Arizona State -13.5 COLORADO
TEXAS TECH -2.5 Arkansas
MIAMI (FLA.) -18 Arkansas State
STANFORD -27.5 Army
BALL STATE NL Indiana State (FCS)
Boise State -14 CONNECTICUT
Usc -20 BOSTON COLLEGE
BOWLING GREEN -3 Indiana
Syracuse -9 CENTRAL MICHIGAN
COLORADO STATE NL UC Davis (FCS)
DUKE -20 Kansas
VIRGINIA TECH -11.5 East Carolina
OLD DOMINION -11.5 Eastern Michigan
Tulsa -1 FAU
Pittsburgh -27.5 FIU
FLORIDA -17 Kentucky
Nebraska -10 FRESNO STATE
Georgia -2.5 SOUTH CAROLINA
GEORGIA TECH -24 Georgia Southern
HAWAII NL Northern Iowa (FCS)
IDAHO -2.5 Western Michigan
WASHINGTON -15 Illinois
IOWA -15.5 Iowa State
OHIO STATE -26.5 Kent State
MISSISSIPPI -29 Louisiana-Lafayette
LSU -32 Louisiana-Monroe
Louisville -9.5 VIRGINIA
MARSHALL -19 Ohio
MARYLAND -4.5 West Virginia
VANDERBILT -17.5 Massachusetts
MICHIGAN -31.5 Miami (O.)
MIDDLE TENESSEE -1 Western Kentucky
TCU -8 MInnesota
Mississippi State -13 SOUTH ALABAMA
MISSOURI -9 Ucf
Navy -13 TEXAS STATE
UTEP -11 New Mexico State
N.C. State -1.5 USF
Northern Illinois -12 UNLV
Notre Dame -29 Purdue (Indianapolis)
OKLAHOMA -21 Tennessee
OKLAHOMA STATE -16 Utsa
OREGON -43 Wyoming
Penn State -3 RUTGERS
TEXAS A&M -29 Rice
Ucla -6 Texas (Arlington)
TROY NL Abilene Christian (FCS)
TULANE NL SE Louisiana (FCS)
UAB NL Alabama A&M (FCS)
UTAH STATE -12.5 Wake Forest
WASHINGTON STATE NL Portland State (FCS)

Darrell KSR
09-11-2014, 08:59 AM
I will go first as the guinea pig.

Texas +6
Mississippi -29
Old Dominion -11.5

I started to double-up on Mississippi, but decided to play Old Dominion, too, on the theory that Florida can't be that good, so Eastern Michigan must be that bad.

I've got $300 KSR bucks on the table (obviously, if you choose 3 games it is $100 a game. Only if you select fewer than 3 will you have to decide whether to play it for $100, 200 or 300).

Let's see your "Pick A Lock."

Darrell KSR
09-11-2014, 09:04 AM
Also, it would be helpful if you would put the +/- points beside each team's name you select, if you really want to be nice and make the game easy to grade. If you choose an underdog, just flip the - to a + for your team.

UKFlounder
09-11-2014, 09:31 AM
Texas tech -2.5
Cincinnati -12
TCU-8

SalsaKat
09-11-2014, 09:43 AM
So how does this work? Are we given a new set of 3 bets each week, no more, no less, or do we roll over our winnings from week to week and are out when we lose it all?

Let's try:

Georgia -2.5
Virginia Tech -11.5
BYU -14

Darrell KSR
09-11-2014, 09:59 AM
Good questions (this is why I'm glad this is a practice week). You cannot bust out. Each week you earn $300 new KSR bucks to play with. Think of it as KSR-disposable income you have lying around.

Each week you can choose between 1-3 locks, no matter how you have done in previous weeks. You can't save up your KSR bucks and roll them over from week to week if you don't use them, but you won't bust out either.

Doc
09-11-2014, 10:35 AM
So in other words we are trying to identify the worse lines of the week


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Doc
09-11-2014, 10:40 AM
Kentucky for 100
Army for 100
Georgia for 100


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ShoesSwayedBlue
09-11-2014, 11:03 AM
Arkansas + 2.5
Ohio + 19
Penn St. - 3

kingcat
09-11-2014, 11:33 AM
Can I suggest we have one person keep their three hundred per week just to see how saving your earnings stacks up against the betting?

I believe that's what oledon would do if he were playing.

kingcat
09-11-2014, 11:46 AM
UK +17 (200)
Vandy -17.5 (100)

Darrell KSR
09-11-2014, 11:59 AM
Can I suggest we have one person keep their three hundred per week just to see how saving your earnings stacks up against the betting?

I believe that's what oledon would do if he were playing.

It's built-in already. Everybody will have a net loss, a net win, or an occasional break even week. If you are season - long to the good, you beat the guys with their hands not leaving their billfold. If you have a net loss, the conservative guys with the velcro remaining fixed on their wallets are ahead.

For example, if you win 2, lose 1 this week, you have a net +$100. That's PLUS your original $300. So we don't need to keep track of that, net winnings or losses will take care of that.

Scout714
09-11-2014, 04:31 PM
Penn State -3
Virginia + 9.5
Tennessee +21

Lfbj00
09-11-2014, 11:12 PM
Indiana +3
Kentucky +17
Penn State -3

Catfan73
09-12-2014, 10:35 AM
$200 on Texas State +13
$100 on Mississippi State -13

UKFlounder
09-12-2014, 09:34 PM
I won't say it often, but way to go UC! :)


Texas tech -2.5
Cincinnati -12
TCU-8

Darrell KSR
09-15-2014, 09:39 AM
Darrell nails all 3. + $300. Of course, this would be a practice week.

I will go first as the guinea pig.

Texas +6
Mississippi -29
Old Dominion -11.5

I started to double-up on Mississippi, but decided to play Old Dominion, too, on the theory that Florida can't be that good, so Eastern Michigan must be that bad.

I've got $300 KSR bucks on the table (obviously, if you choose 3 games it is $100 a game. Only if you select fewer than 3 will you have to decide whether to play it for $100, 200 or 300).

Let's see your "Pick A Lock."


Texas Tech is a loser, but UC and TCU prevail. +$100 this week for UKFlounder.

Texas tech -2.5
Cincinnati -12
TCU-8

SalsaKat is on ramen noodles this week. Lost all 3 (hey, good thing it's practice....and pretend.) -$300.
So how does this work? Are we given a new set of 3 bets each week, no more, no less, or do we roll over our winnings from week to week and are out when we lose it all?

Let's try:

Georgia -2.5
Virginia Tech -11.5
BYU -14

UK came through, but Army and UGA are no-gos. -$100 for Doc.

Kentucky for 100
Army for 100
Georgia for 100


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Arkansas came through, Penn State was a push, and Ohio a loser. ShoesSwayedBlue is tied with Oledon at $0.

Arkansas + 2.5
Ohio + 19
Penn St. - 3

Big $200 play overcomes the Vandy non-cover, and a +$100 week for Kingcat.
UK +17 (200)
Vandy -17.5 (100)

We have a push (Penn State) a win (Virginia) and a loss (Tennessee), for another tied with Oledon at $0.
Penn State -3
Virginia + 9.5
Tennessee +21

Two pushes (Indiana, Penn State) and a winner, and Lfbj00 is going out to dinenr on his +$100 winnings.
Indiana +3
Kentucky +17
Penn State -3

So close on Texas State, but winner on Miss. State. -$100 week for you.
$200 on Texas State +13
$100 on Mississippi State -13

Darrell KSR
09-15-2014, 09:42 AM
Let's see how we did in this Practice Week (this week counts for real).

+$300
DarrellKSR

$100
UKFlounder
Kingcat
Lfbj00

$0
ShoesSwayedBlue
Scout714

-$100
Doc
Catfan73

-$300
SalsaKat

Darrell KSR
09-15-2014, 09:43 AM
KSR group won $600, lost $500, for a net +$100 profitable week in the practice round. Make sure you play for real this week.